Showing posts with label Wahhabism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Wahhabism. Show all posts

Saturday, January 30, 2016

The Neocons failed strategy in the Middle East. Again. And again.

The author of he following article, The Truth About Sectarianism, Jacob Olidort, is   a Soref fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.  Olidort is impressively educated and is well-connected in Washington, working for both Bushes, Clinton, and Obama.

His article does not distinguish between Saud Wahhabism and Salafi Jihadism as it should.

Th article ignores the $Billions in financial and political support the Saudi and other Gulf dictators have given to Salafi Jihadism is Syria and, for decades, to madrases throughout Central Asia that teach hatred of the West.  Support for Syrian Salafi is one of the main obstacles to a political settlement of the strife in Syria.

Olidort's does not condemn the Saud genocide in Yemen but instead focuses on the death of one cleric, displaying a bias in favor of the Saud and its Western allies.  The US and Britain are complicit in the genocide.


 Olidort does not mention the UN Panel of Experts' report that Abdullah Saleh, former president of Yemen, took as much ass $60 Billion in Yemeni money when he was forced out of the presidency by the Arab Spring.  The money was taken with Saud approval and US complicity, and is now used to fuel the popular rebellion that riggers Saud carpet bombing of the country.  Leaving Saleh with so much money was a mistake.  Starving Yemeni could use $60 Billion.

A more useful article, by  Olidort, published by the Washington Institute, is What is Salafism?, recommended for those of you who are curious.

Per Wikipedia,, the Washington Institute,where Olidort works, has been criticized as "'the fiercest of the enemies of the Arabs and the Muslims'", and describing it as the "'most important Zionist propaganda tool in the United States.'"  The institute vigorously objects.

Olidort does not think is is productive to try to change Saudi Arabia or Iran from a sectarian government.  In stead, he recommends this:
A better allocation of U.S. attention and resources is to deter exploitative acts by institutional sectarians such as Saudi Arabia or Iran. This can only be done by assuming an engaged leadership role in the region—for example, working with local societies in rebuilding their infrastructure so that they do not turn to sectarian alternatives.
Eisenhower build dams to provide water to sectarian Pashtun in Afghanistan.  The Pashtun used the water to grow opium poppies and hate America and Russia with equal fervor.

See where  that got us.

Neoconic advice from its inception.

 
THE TRUTH ABOUT SECTARIANISM
Published by the Council on Foreign Relations
Behind the Various Strands of Shia-Sunni Discord
By Jacob Olidort
Sectarian identities were supposedly formed in the Middle East centuries ago, and yet they seem to breed the region’s bloodiest conflicts today. While Iran has thrown its support behind President Bashar al-Assad in Syria and the Houthi rebels in Yemen, Saudi Arabia has strategized on how to bring both of them down. Tensions deepened earlier this month after Saudi Arabia enraged Iran by executing a prominent Saudi Shiite cleric, whom the regime claimed was a terrorist. When Shiites protested in Iran and Saudi Arabia, sometimes violently, the Kingdom kicked Iran’s diplomats out of the country.

But the conflict in the region is much more nuanced than a simple sectarian war. Saudi Arabia’s rhetoric, for example, which is governed by a deeply entrenched Wahhabism, is very distinct from the Islamic State’s (also known as ISIS) use of anti-Shiism to exploit political and economic grievances against both Assad’s Shiite–Alawite regime and the dispossession of Iraq’s Sunnis under the government of then-Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki.

In fact, there are three broad kinds of sectarianism at play. Some groups and states have integrated sectarian themes into the very fabric of their political, cultural, and educational systems. Sectarianism, in other words, has been institutionalized. The most prominent example is, of course, Saudi Arabia and its centuries-old antagonism towards Shiites. Muhammad ibn Abd al-Wahhab, known as the father of Wahhabism and who was present at the state’s founding, made anti-Shiism a core component of his doctrine. Another example is Iran. Ruhollah Khomeini, leader of the Iranian Revolution and later Iran’s supreme leader, developed a theory of Islamic government known as “governance of the jurists.” He argued that Muslims should live under a regime overseen by legal scholars, and in particular, those trained in his Shiite tradition, who are skilled in interpreting Sharia law. His theory shaped the founding tenets of the Republic.

 
RAHEB HOMAVANDI (TIMA) / REUTERS
Protesters holding pictures of Shiite cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr are pushed back by Iranian riot police during a demonstration outside the Saudi Arabian Embassy in Tehran, January, 3, 2016.

Even some non-state communities, such as the Salafists, have institutionalized their sectarianism. Salafists claim that their conservative version of Sunnism adheres to a literal understanding of the faith that the Prophet Muhammad and his earliest followers practiced. They thus consider Shiites apostates. Although lacking (and in most cases even resisting) the call for a state, Salafists have systematized their opposition to Shiites over the course of the twentieth century by promoting medieval theological treatises that support their theology. In the 1960s, they even began teaching Salafism at Islamic universities in Saudi Arabia and at Wahhabi institutes around the world.

At the other end of the sectarian spectrum, incidental sectarianism, as its name implies, does not involve a deliberate effort to implement a sectarian agenda. Sectarianism does not play a central role in a state or group’s objectives, even if there are overtones of it. The most pertinent example is the Syrian civil war. It began as a conflict centered on regime change. In fact, the Assads have deliberately downplayed their Alawite affiliation precisely because it is seen as heterodox by the more dominant Twelver Shiism in Iran. To secure power and legitimacy, former President Hafez al-Assad, Bashar’s father, therefore allied with other Shiite groups within the region, such as in Lebanon. Although there is certainly a sectarian dimension to the Syrian conflict, it is not an institutionalized part of either the war or the actors involved; it has been incidentally ascribed. The same is true of the Houthi rebels in Yemen, who belong to the minority Zaydi sect, but are not fighting the regime for sectarian reasons.

Finally, there is exploitative sectarianism, a category that characterizes the tactics and nature of many of the most violent actors in the region. ISIS, for example exploits the local power vacuum in order to build up its capabilities and amass territory. A number of Syrian opposition groups, such as Ahrar al Sham and al Nusra Front, also push a sectarian narrative in order to achieve their political goals, whether it’s to turn Syria into their version of a stable Sunni state or simply overthrow Assad. To be clear, these groups are all equally committed to their sectarian principles, but not all of them have gone as far as, say ISIS, in institutionalizing their beliefs, politically and socially.

Developing a long-term strategy for sectarian conflicts requires understanding that not all sectarianism is the same. [Emphasis in the original]
This three-tiered classification system is also a useful guide for understanding how players in the region behave. Institutional sectarians such as Saudi Arabia and Iran can also act exploitatively, that is, inject a layer of “incidental sectarianism” into an otherwise non-sectarian conflict, as we’ve seen in Syria and Yemen. Saudi Arabia also exploited its penal code to amplify the sectarian dimension of regional geopolitics by executing a high-profile Shiite figure. While precise motives are hard to identify, Saudi Arabia likely sought to elicit an aggressive Iranian response just as sanctions were being lifted or, as some have acutely suggested, remind the United States that it can stand up to Iran on its own, particularly when Washington refuses to do so.

Exploitative players might also learn to institutionalize their behaviors. We see this with ISIS. It is actively seeking to establish a system of governance—whether it’s issuing edicts on how to treat minorities or designing educational curricula. This process builds channels for ISIS to apply and perpetuate its doctrines, as well as gain credibility from those around the world who share its vision. The same is true of Syrian opposition groups. Al Nusra Front and Ahrar al Sham have set up courts and judiciary bodies that mete out their version of justice. It is worth noting that, like ISIS today, the first Saudi state, which was founded in the eighteenth century, also emerged out of a political vacuum by taking advantage of territorial opportunities created by regional neglect.


TIMA (MEHDI GHASEMI) / REUTERS
Flames rise from Saudi Arabia's embassy during a demonstration in Tehran, January 2, 2016.


Understanding the dynamic nature of sectarianism will enable the United States to respond more effectively to emerging sectarian challenges. For starters, Washington must understand that it is not constructive to disrupt institutionalized sectarianism. The United States, for example, is not able or welcome to change Saudi or Iranian societal norms, however disagreeable. A better allocation of U.S. attention and resources is to deter exploitative acts by institutional sectarians such as Saudi Arabia or Iran. This can only be done by assuming an engaged leadership role in the region—for example, working with local societies in rebuilding their infrastructure so that they do not turn to sectarian alternatives.

The same method can be applied to fighting exploitative groups such as ISIS. Although U.S. counterterrorism has recently embraced the concept of “countering violent extremism,” these efforts will eventually drag Washington down an ideological rabbit hole because it is not within the physical, legal, or political purview of the U.S. government to counter extremist narratives, which often have historic roots; for example, Sunni hostility towards Shiites for venerating their imams (and thereby, according to Sunnis, violating the principle of God’s oneness) is a polemic that can be traced back to Sunnism’s formative period. How would the United States even begin to counter that narrative?

A more reasonable initiative involves taking note of how exploitative actors use sectarian themes to their own advantage. Although Salafist literature is chock full of hatred for Shiites, it is jihadi–Salafist groups like al Qaeda and ISIS that use it to justify violent actions towards Shiites and other non-Sunni Islamic groups. Rather than proposing alternatives to these sectarian doctrines, Washington should focus on preventing these delinquents from institutionalizing their violent vision through schools and bureaucracies that perpetuate these ideas. If left unchecked, the tone and type of sectarianism that will likely be institutionalized will be ever bloodier and, perhaps, more attractive to potential recruits. That is why developing a long-term strategy for sectarian conflicts requires understanding that not all sectarianism is the same.


Some images of Saudi bombing in Yemen in the past month, from google images:

People gather at the site of a Saudi-led air strike in Yemen's capital Sanaa January 6, 2016 Khaled Abdullah  Reuters



Three medical facilities run by Doctors Without Borders have been bombed in the past three months in the Saudi-led war in Yemen, while human rights organizations have accused the US backed coalition of war crimes for targeting civilian areas



Yemeni workers inspect the damage at a factory after it was reportedly destroyed by Saudi-led airstrikes in the capital Sanaa (AFP Photo/Mohammed Huwais)

Saturday, August 22, 2015

Yazidi warrior women

An Israeli news outlet reports on Yazidi women's uniting to join the Kurdistan peshmerga in fighting ISIS:

Yazidi Women Form All-Female Unit to Fight ISIS - Israel News


[For more on the Yazidi, see Yazidis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia.]

The article is merely one of many detailing the horrors women suffer at the hands of ISIS.

Slavery is very old and is clearly supported by the Quran  (see Islamic views on slavery - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia) and the Christian Old Testament (see e.g., What the Old Testament says about slavery), though modern religious scholars emphasize passages more humane.

In spite of god's plain approval, all countries, with great reluctance and much bloodshed, gave up the practice of human slavery.  The Arabs were slower than most: the Saudis abolished slavery in 1962; Oman, the last Arab country, in1970.

 In spite of universal condemnation of slavery, it was revived by several Saudi-financed jihadist  groups in Syria early in the Syrian Civil War.

ISIS, a Sunni-Muslim ur-country hoping to become a new Grand Caliphate,  ISIS has institutionalized human slavery, based on Wahhabism, the guiding religion of Saudi Arabia.

ISIS is particularly intent on enslaving those women captured in war, in line with Aristotelian precepts.

If you respect Aristotle, you will think it just that that salves be enslaved.  If you respect Aristotle you deserve wha t you get.

All other people should condemn human slavery.

ISIS's ability to enslave others should be brought to an end. Every effort should be expended to end the ability to enslave another human being.  Since ISIS is peculiarly Sunni Arab creation, Sunni Arabs should take the on-the-ground lead in the fight.

The brave Yazidi women deserve the support of all nations. Americans, call your Senators.

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Images from the Web of women enslaved by ISIS:










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Saudi military crossing into Yemen, when it should be crossing into Iraq to engage ISIS.  Brutal, pointless, and supported by Britain, France, and the US.






Tuesday, June 16, 2015

ISIS will fail; what replaces it is less clear


What follows is not an optimistic from any point of view: from the West, ISIS's, and therefore the Wahhabist form of theocratic government, failure, inevitable from the start be cause most folks don't like the Wahhabist form of theocratic government, will be a long time coming; and from ISIS' point of view, eventually it will be replaced by something more liberal and atheistic.

Anbar is critical.  There isn't much between ISIS and Makkah but desert, and once ISIS gains control of Makkah its claim to legitimacy is more secure.

The root problem was knowable at the time Bushco decided to replace Saddam Hussein:  Sunni and Shia can exist in one State only if the State is controlled by a strong dictator.

Now, Iran and Syria don't want a strong Sunni dictator, and Sunni won't tolerate a strong Shia dictator. A failed state is inevitable.

Certainly Obama knows this.  His plan for dealing with it is unknowable to one situated as ordinary citizens are, and that i not unusual in any war.

A quotation from the article:


"Eventually, at some point, the caliphate will collapse because there's not enough people who want to live in that type of a religious theocracy," Harmer said. "But it's not going to collapse anytime soon. Their message is resonating with enough foreign fighters that they're getting a significant influx of foreign fighters … There's an ideological and operational coherence."


And while ISIS thrives, the US seems to lack coherence with its strategy.

"People on active duty like to say we've got an extend and pretend strategy," Harmer said. "We keep extending failed policies and pretending they are working.
 I plan to live long enough to see how it works out.


From the sober http://www.businessinsider.com/isis-is-gaining-momentum-in-the-worst-possible-way-2015-6

ISIS is gaining momentum in the worst possible way

PAMELA ENGEL 

JUN. 16, 2015, 9:14 AM 13,714 34

3 big assumptions in the anti-ISIS fight have all turned out to be false

ISIS is launching more and more car bombs

The Obama administration's ISIS strategy faces a crippling contradiction
In the year since the Islamic State militant group tore through the Middle East and took control of Iraq's second-largest city, the US has been scrambling to come up with an effective strategy to defeat the militants.

Meanwhile, the Islamic State (also known as ISIS, ISIL, or Daesh) is winning by successfully settling in as Iraq and Syria crumble.

"A year after the Islamic State seized Mosul, and 10 months after the United States and its allies launched a campaign of airstrikes against it, the jihadist group continues to dig in, stitching itself deeper into the fabric of the communities it controls," Ben Hubbard of The New York Times reports.

The Times, citing interviews with residents, notes that ISIS "is offering reliable, if harsh, security; providing jobs in decimated economies; and projecting a rare sense of order in a region overwhelmed by conflict."

And by doing so, the group is increasingly winning over reluctant civilians.

"It is not our life, all the violence and fighting and death," a laborer from Raqqa told The Times. "But they got rid of the tyranny of the Arab rulers."

As ISIS further entrenches itself in the areas it controls, it is becoming clear that the US isn't anywhere close to eliminating the group.

'They've clearly got the best battle plan'

After a US general insisted in December that ISIS was on the defensive, the militants seized Ramadi, the provincial capital of the Sunni-dominated Anbar province, successfully crippling Iraqi security forces that significantly outnumbered ISIS fighters. The group then went on to take Palmyra, a strategically and historically significant town in Syria, from the regime of Syrian dictator Bashar Assad.

"People inside D.C. are hanging on to the myth that ISIS isn't that good, but they're missing that what ISIS has done shows an extraordinary capability to conduct integrated military operations," Christopher Harmer, a senior naval analyst at the Institute for the Study of War, told Business Insider.

Harmer noted that ISIS has proved it can coordinate military activity across multiple fronts, moving fighters within and between Syria and Iraq, transporting vehicles across borders, sharing expertise in how to build improvised explosive devices, and coordinating even small battles from the top down.




"They've clearly got the best battle plan, and nobody that's fighting against them has a logical plan on how to defeat them," Harmer said. "It is beyond obvious to any observer of what's happening that ISIS' strategy is clearly more effective than the American strategy to defeat it."

The Soufan Group said in a note this week that three key assumptions the Obama administration had modeled its anti-ISIS strategy around had not held up very well over the past year.

The Iraqi army is still incapable of beating back ISIS and retaking Mosul, the Shia-dominated government in Baghdad has been reluctant to arm and train Sunni fighters in Iraq out of fear they will later rise up against Baghdad, and the US hasn't been able to effectively counter ISIS' online propaganda that lures thousands of foreign fighters into the group's ranks.



'Baghdad and Iran are opposed to us training Sunnis'

President Barack Obama recently announced an expansion of the US strategy in the Middle East, pledging to send 450 more troops to Iraq in a push to train the country's battered security forces to retake Ramadi.

But Michael Pregent, a terrorism analyst and former US Army intelligence officer in Iraq, told Business Insider earlier this week why this strategy was most likely doomed to fail.

He recently wrote that while the Obama administration is correct to think that arming and training Sunnis to defend their own territory is the only viable way to beat back advances by ISIS, a Sunni extremist group, the political situation in Baghdad (not to mention Syria) is obstructing the plan.

The Shia-led government in Baghdad is vetting the recruits who want to join the Iraqi security forces, and it has been looking for any connections to Sunni political leaders and Baathists who formerly supported dictator Saddam Hussein. Iran, which is contributing Shiite militias to the ground fight against ISIS while engaging in negotiations with the US over a nuclear deal, also opposes the arming of Iraqi Sunnis.


iraqREUTERS/StringerDisplaced Sunnis crossing a bridge on the outskirts of Baghdad on May 24.

"You can send more American advisers, but until they're training Sunnis, they're not going to make a difference in the fight against ISIS," Pregent told Business Insider. "Baghdad and Iran are opposed to us training Sunnis, and the president cares about the nuke deal."

Obama acknowledged earlier this week that the US did not have a "complete strategy" to beat ISIS.

This is especially clear when looking at Syria. Assad's regime is staunchly backed by Iran and largely ignored by the Obama administration while Obama pursues a "once in a lifetime opportunity" to finalize a nuclear deal with Iran.

The US-led anti-ISIS coalition has been carrying out airstrikes in Iraq and Syria and training Iraqi security forces, but this hasn't been enough to win the ground fight against the militants.

So Shia militias backed by Iran have stepped up, and they have actually proved to be a more effective fighting force than the Iraqi army. But the Shia militias have been accused of committing atrocities against Sunni civilians, which turns public opinion toward ISIS.

"The political solution is to have a unified, stable, neutral Iraqi central government that represents the interests of the people," the Institute for the Study of War's Harmer said. "If we have a Shia militia inside Iraq that is loyal to Tehran, that is not helping achieve the political outcome. From a military perspective, the Shia militias are a good thing. From a political perspective, it's destabilizing."


iraq shia militia

'Extend and pretend strategy'

The US may be out of good options now, and the Iraqi government doesn't seem willing to push the Shia militias out of the country. And since Iran is so closely aligned with Syria, the Assad regime isn't pushing out any Iranian-trained Shia fighters there either.

Yaroslav Trofimov wrote in The Wall Street Journal last month that the US had three options in the fight against ISIS: carry on with what it is already doing, escalate the fight, or give up. None of those options are appealing.

Harmer said the situation in Iraq and Syria would get worse before it gets better.

ISIS is successfully marketing its self-declared caliphate, an Islamic empire that aims to unite the world's Muslims under a single religious and political entity, as a utopia to thousands of foreigners who travel to ISIS territory to contribute to the group's cause.

"Enemies, like government soldiers, the police, and those who do not fit in, such as minorities or elites, flee or are killed," The Times notes. "What remains are mostly Sunni Arabs who try to continue their lives with little disruption."

isis raqqa

The plan is not likely to be sustainable in the long term, but it's working right now.

"Eventually, at some point, the caliphate will collapse because there's not enough people who want to live in that type of a religious theocracy," Harmer said. "But it's not going to collapse anytime soon. Their message is resonating with enough foreign fighters that they're getting a significant influx of foreign fighters … There's an ideological and operational coherence."

And while ISIS thrives, the US seems to lack coherence with its strategy.

"People on active duty like to say we've got an extend and pretend strategy," Harmer said. "We keep extending failed policies and pretending they are working."

Michael B. Kelley contributed to this report.



Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/isis-is-gaining-momentum-in-the-worst-possible-way-2015-6#ixzz3dGYR6Iti

Sunday, September 29, 2013

Good relations with Iran?


From Thomas Friedman's  op-ed article in this morning's New York Times, with luck Iran is safe from being Bombed and the chance that we will see a world at peace in my lifetime is increased.

Modest congratulations are due those of you who opposed Bombing Iran initially.

A free and prosperous Iran, though still a theocracy theocracy might look something like this:

















. . . instead of something like this:





Israel and the Horrible Saudis are the likely spoilers.  

Israel’s leaders -- some American Jews consider them Fascists and many more believe the leaders have betrayed Israel’s founding hope of a free, democratic state --- are unreasonably afraid of death.  

Death comes to us all, some sooner than they would like, but an irrational fear of death leads to irrational and brutal actions; courageously facing the certainty of death leads to gentleness and openness.  

Israeli leaders are nothing if not irrational and brutal: irrational because they have enough atomic Bombs to make them safe from any nation on the face of the earth; brutal because of the march of new settlements into Palestinian territory and the mistreatment of Palestinians.


 Remind you of anything, you Border Citizens?











The H. Saudis are a danger because they wish with all their might for a return to the splendid Abbasid Caliphate during the Arab Golden Age (750 - 1250 a.c.e.), when the acquisition of knowledge was the highest value . . .




 . . . and they are captured by Wahhabism, a religion so reactionary and intolerant of women and others who do not conform that they have won no converts outside the Pashtun, in spite of decades of expensive propaganda. 

There are not many pictures.  Pictures are not often permitted.



See WikipediaLGBT rights in Saudi Arabia; Human Rights Watch,  Saudi Arabia 2013 

Although Wahhabism wins no converts, the H. Saudis have so much free money that they are dangerous:  consider their efforts to turn Syria into a Salafi state.









Wahhabism is sometimes conflated with the Salafi movement; and some Salafi regard the term as derogatory:  no matter: they both espouse an intolerant interpretation of Sharia that only experts can tell apart.  It is as if a majority of the voting Citizens in the U.S. believed hat the Old Testament, with its cruel injunctions must be applied literally.   Indeed, the Old Testament may be even more draconian than Sharia:  Consider an Arkansas Republican politician, quoted in the Daily Kos 

"a child who disrespects his parents must be permanently removed from society in a way that gives an example to all other children of the importance of respect for parents. The death penalty for rebellious children is not something to be taken lightly. The guidelines for administering the death penalty to rebellious children are given  in Deut 21:18-21” -- Arkansas Republican Charlie Fuqua.
Deuteronomy, an Old Testament book held to be The Holy Word of God by Christians, recommends stoning rebellious children to death.  The text is here, and is worth reading, ye who are certain of our moral superiority.

Salafi fall in love --


and Sunni Muslims mourn their dead.



Shakespeare, Merchant of Venice, Act 3, Scene 1:  Shylock:
. . . .  I am a Jew. Hath not a Jew eyes? hath not a Jew hands, organs, dimensions, senses, affections, passions? fed with the same food, hurt with the same weapons, subject to the same diseases, healed by the same means,warmed and cooled by the same winter and summer, asa Christian is? If you prick us, do we not bleed?