Sunday, September 7, 2014

Turkish and Russian views of NATO's coalition against ISIS

Turkey has a lot of restive  Kurds, assigned to it by inconsiderate Britain when it breached the 1920 Treaty of Sèvres,  which provides for a Kurdish nation.

Kurds have a long memory.  Kurds in Iraq have achieved near-independence, and wish to join their countrymen now living in Iran, Syria, and Turkey.

Turkey borders Iraqi Kurds, Iranian Kurds, and Syrian Kurds.  The Syrian Kurds are especially hard-hit by the Syrian civil war.  It is in Turkey's interest to support Kurds, who are under attack by ISIS.

Russia's southern republics are separated from Turkey only by Georgia. Jihadists are killing ethnic Russians and are being killed by the Russian army.  The rise of ISIS strengthens Russian Jihadists.

Russia and Turkey have a common interest in seeing the defeat of  Jihadist groups in Syria.  Russia is already involved in that effort. but works at odds to the West.

Turkey and it's neighbors

Turkey's proximity to the Russian South and what Kurdistan would look like if implemented

ISIS Jihadists, not intended to be representative

Articles from the International Business Times and RT, reprinted after the jump,  show how far apart they are from central NATO objectives.  Turkish internal politics cause it to dither.  Russia sees NATO's involvement as a disastrous repeat of Bushco's adventure in Iraq.(RT, an official Russian government newspaper, reads like a propaganda piece, and may not represent Russian government's thinking. One hopes that is the csd.) We'll see how long it takes the parties to recognize that Obama has international policies differ from Bushco's.

Vote for the next US president who shares Obama's foreign policies.

International Business Times

Turkey May Play Quiet Role In US Coalition Against ISIS

By Reuters on September 05 2014 8:52 PM

ISIS is currently holding about 46 Turkish citizens hostage.
(Reuters) - Turkey may find it hard to play a public role in the coalition the United States is building to strike at Islamic State targets in Iraq and possibly Syria for fear the militant group might retaliate against dozens of Turks held hostage.

President Barack Obama has said he hopes to devise a regional strategy to try to counter IS, which has seized swathes of territory in Iraq and Syria, but current and former U.S. officials say they expect Turkey to avoid any major public role.

An ally in the U.S.-led NATO military alliance, Turkey is the only Muslim nation in a "core coalition" of 10 countries committed to battle IS militants in Iraq that the United States announced on Friday at the NATO summit in Newport, Wales.

It is unclear to what extent the coalition may target IS in Syria, where the Islamist militants enjoy safe haven.
The bulwark of NATO's southeastern flank, Turkey has sensitive relations with seven sometimes unstable neighbors, bordering not only Syria, the origin of the IS threat, but Iraq, where the Islamist group took dozens of Turks hostage.

IS is holding some 46 Turkish citizens hostage, including diplomats seized from the Turkish consulate in Mosul when it overran Iraq's second-largest city in June.
In deference to Turkey's predicament, Washington aims to have Ankara focus on halting the flow of foreign militants, including many from the United States and Western Europe, who have crossed its territory to join the fight in Syria.

"Everybody understands that the Turks are in a special category," said a U.S. official on condition of anonymity, alluding to the safety of Turkey's hostages and the reluctance of one neighbor to attack another for fear of retaliation.

"Turkey will be part of the coalition but what does that mean? It doesn't cost much to get your flag up on the wall."

A second official said Washington would ask Ankara to do more to keep foreign fighters out of Syria, a message Obama delivered diplomatically on Friday and Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel is expected to echo in Turkey next week.

When he met Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan in Newport, Obama told reporters: "I want to express my appreciation for the cooperation between U.S. and Turkish both military and intelligence services in dealing with the issue of foreign fighters, an area where we still have more work to do."

Turkey has long sought to spur the United States to greater action to end the 3-1/2-year-old Syrian civil war in which an estimated 200,000 people have died.
Turkey has drawn up a "no-entry" list of 6,000 people suspected of seeking to join "extremists in Syria" based on information from foreign intelligence agencies, Turkish officials have said.

"The foreign fighter issue is well-known. It’s a problem. It's certainly fueling ... their advance in Syria and in Iraq," said the second U.S. official. "That would certainly be something that we would look for help from Turkey on."



Islamic State and the appeal of 72 Virgins-in-waiting: Video games, boredom and the lack of future prospects

Dr. Can Erimtan is an independent scholar residing in İstanbul, with a wide interest in the politics, history and culture of the Balkans and the Greater Middle East. He tweets at @theerimtanangle

Published time: September 01, 2014 15:04

AFP Photo / HO
Muslim extremism has been NATO's enemy-of-choice since the mid-1990's, and now this amorphous opponent has once again assumed the shape of a recognizable organization headed by a similarly tangible figure, worthy of a worldwide campaign of hatred.

Islamic State, the terrorist group formerly known as ISIS (or ISIL) has over the past weeks dominated much of the world's news coverage. Their brutal occupation of territories formally part of Syria and Iraq (thereby realizing the effective Balkanization of the Middle East) followed by their equally brutal persecution of, first, a Yazidi community forced to flee up a mountain near Sinjar and, now, the Shi'ite Turkmen town of Amerli (in fact, already under siege for the past 2 months), and particularly their recent internet-broadcast execution of American journalist James Foley have carved the group into the global audience's consciousness and beyond.
The new bogeyman

Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, who likes to call himself "Caliph Ibrahim", as leader of the IS with apparently unlimited ambitions, has taken over the position vacated by bin Laden in the wee hours of 2 May 2011, when he was killed by twenty-three Navy SEALs from Team Six in the Pakistani town carrying the unlikely name of Abbottabad. Personalizing the enemy makes it easier to explain goals and objectives to the wider public.

US Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel did not hesitate to do just that some days ago (21 August 2014). Hagel literally said that Caliph Ibrahim and the IS constitute "an imminent threat to every interest we [the United States] have, whether it's in Iraq or anywhere else", then adding "Oh, this is beyond anything that we’ve seen. So we must prepare for everything.”

The Chairman of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff , General Martin Dempsey , also present at the briefing, went on to describe the IS as "an organization that has an apocalyptic, end-of-days strategic vision and which will eventually have to be defeated." Dempsey explained that this defeat has to be realized on “both sides of what is essentially at this point a non-existent border” of Syria and Iraq, referring to territories that are now, for all intents and purposes, the lands actually ruled by Caliph Ibrahim and subject to the idiosyncratic interpretation of Islam and the Shariah that make up the ideology of the Islamic State. And in this way, the West has now finally acquired its new bogeyman, able to attract and focus all kinds of intelligence and military attention.

In the face of this new threat, President Obama once again followed his predecessor's lead and started assembling his own "coalition of the willing,” starting a diplomatic campaign behind the scenes to enlist not just regional allies and neighbors, but a wider alliance comprising also Australia and Britain, in addition to such local players like Turkey, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates.

Speaking at the veterans' organization the American Legion in Charlotte, N.C. on Tuesday (26 August), the President assured his audience that "[r]ooting out a cancer like ISIL [, still using the now familiar acronymization instead of the arguably somewhat more intimidating phrase Islamic State or simply IS] won’t be easy, and it won’t be quick,” in spite of the US’s awesome military might. In a rhetorical turn reminiscent of Bush, Jr. in the aftermath of 9/11, Obama vowed to “take the fight to these barbaric terrorists,” to faraway shores and fields at a more than safe distance from American soil, adding that the caliphal forces would be "no match" for a united international community under the banner of Obama's very own "coalition of the willing.”

Previously, President Obama had authorized air strikes aimed at IS positions in aid of the KRG's Peshmerga forces defensive military operations. In this context, it seems no coincidence that the name Kurdistan pops up in regular news casts nowadays in reference to northern Iraq's KRG – a tacit acknowledgement of US approval of Iraq's division into three separate units.

These US missiles, supporting the Iraqi Kurds in their bid to remain a sovereign entity, ostensibly led to the much-publicized beheading of Foley, the photojournalist who had travelled to Syria from Libya, where he had been kept by soldiers loyal to Muammar Gaddafi during a 44-day captivity in "a bunch of prisons" (2011), only to be captured by unidentified kidnappers in Syria nearly two years ago.

The unexpected suspect

James Foley's video-taped execution was released under the title A Message to America on 19 August. In the video, Foley appears to relay a previously scripted monologue on the culpability of US foreign policy prior to being beheaded by a veiled figure using an apparently rather blunt knife. This ghastly internet sensation caused global outrage, leading to his sister Kelly Foley to tweet "Don’t watch the video. Don’t share it. That’s not how life should be.”

AFP Photo / HO

The killer or executioner immediately became notorious for his own oration in a decidedly British accent: "Any attempt by you, Obama, to deny the Muslims their rights of living in safety under the Islamic caliphate will result in the bloodshed of your people." His identity was soon discovered, as four days later, British Ambassador to the US, Sir Peter Westmacott, told CNN that he "can't say more than this but I know from my colleagues at home that we are close," intimating the use of "sophisticated technologies, voice identification and so on" for the purpose of identifying and naming James Foley's alleged murderer.

It now turns out that the key suspect is an individual called Abdel-Majed Abdel Bary, a 23-year-old British former rapper (known also as L Jinny), who up-and-left his parental home in Maida Vale, West London in 2013 to join the jihad in Syria. To his mind the young man appeared to have had a good reason to join the fight, as "a well-placed source [in US intelligence] told Fox News that Bary's Egyptian-born father was extradited from London to the United States in 2012 for his alleged connection to Osama bin Laden and the 1998 US Embassy bombings in Africa.” So, Bary allegedly beheading Foley could be a personal act of retribution for the young rapper-turned-beheader. Using his blunt knife Abdel Bary interacted directly with three US Presidents – with Obama for having been in office at the time of his father's extradition (2012); with Bush, Jr. for having taken the fight to Osama bin Laden, and thereby implicating his father who was known to have been one of the latter's top lieutenants (2002); and with Bill Clinton for having been in charge during the bombings of US Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania and having subsequently identified Bin Laden as the main culprit (1998).

Media in the West have since been filled with numerous voices expressing utter consternation at the considerable number of European (as well as American) volunteers who have apparently joined the ranks of the IS – the BBC at the end of last year estimated their total troop numbers to consist of 3,000 to 5,000 fighters. Earlier this month, the lone man that is the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that another 6,300 men-willing-to-fight had joined the Jihadi outfit in July.

While, just the other day, Colin Clarke, an associate political scientist at the Rand Corporation, came out claiming that that the total number of IS fighters is estimated to be about 10,000. Inside this main bulk of eager troops, the generally held consensus is that approximately 2,000 individuals hail from Europe, with a quarter of these young men.

Talking heads on television as well as the regular man and woman on the street seem perplexed and fail to understand why young men, born and bred in comfortable and arguably peaceful surroundings would abandon their easy lives to join a bloody fight in a remote location. Dr Joshua Landis, an Associate Professor at the University of Oklahoma, reasons that the appeal of the IS (which has a very tech-savvy social media propaganda apparatus at hand) is somewhat comparable to the allure the Spanish Civil War exerted on leftists of all stripe and color in the late thirties. While it does seem reasonable to assume that joining the Jihad in Syria and Iraq has considerable romantic appeal for disenfranchised Muslim youths living in Europe, it seems to me that the underlying reason for this current minor people's migration to the east should be looked for in the actual conditions faced by these apparently fervent individuals.

Nearly four years ago, I argued elsewhere that current generations of Muslim migrants' children and grandchildren daily face "prejudice and intolerance." Originally, these youngsters' parents and grandparents were met with blatant racism and xenophobia, facing discrimination "based upon their status as foreigners, foreigners from the backward East, speaking a different language and practicing a different religion.”

Nowadays in this post-9/11 world we live in, the vocabulary has changed yet the sentiments have remained the same. As, "commentators and politicians alike tend to forget national or ethnic identifiers, instead opting for religious markers, and thus speaking about the Muslims other present in ... Europe ... the Muslim other whose presence and actions are incompatible with Western civilization and alien to the Judeo-Christian tradition which provides the framework for much, if not all, of Europe’s culture and identity.”

The professor of sociology, scholar and expert in Islamic matters, Stefano Allievi rightly remarks that the “immigrant ... has progressively become ‘Muslim,’ both in his/her perception by the host societies and in his/her self-perception.” And as a result, Europeans nowadays express their dislike of the “other” in religious and/or cultural terms, leading to the "creation of a new term that is oftentimes not even associated with racist sentiments and/or reflexes: Islamophobia. But we should be clear about this: Islamophobia is nothing but a new name given to the age-old reflex of racism.”

Children of Muslim parentage living in Western Europe as thus faced with Islamophobia or xenophobic racism on a daily basis; a circumstance which arguably leads to less than successful educational careers (oftentimes steered towards vocational or technical training), in turn followed by bleak job prospects and a culture of dependency (on either family or state-provided assistance).

Coupled to this less than rosy outlook is the fact that these young men more often than not succumb to sheer and utter boredom, arguably relieving their tedium with bouts of playing violent video games offering a temporary escape while boosting crumbled egos. Societal pressure thus pushes these youngsters in the direction of Islam and, given parental and family background, these young men frequently embark on a journey of self-discovery leading them to recognizing Jihad as their true cause making their empty lives full and meaningful. But, the dead weight of the boredom faced by these young men does not always lead to a journey of religious self-discovery, as attested by the recent revelation that the originally Birmingham-based and now terror-convicted Jihadi fighters Mohammed Nahin Ahmed and Yusuf Zubair Sarwar actually purchased such books as Islam For Dummies, The Koran For Dummies and Arabic For Dummies from Amazon prior to flying to the Middle East.

In the end, the US and its allies have now found their new bogeyman, sticking close to the recommendations made by then-NATO Secretary General Willy Claes, who, in 1995, envisaged that "Islamic militancy has [now] emerged as perhaps the single gravest threat to the NATO alliance and to Western security.” And this threat has taken the shape of two individuals between 1998 and 2014 – from Osama bin Laden to Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, aka the Caliph Ibrahim, now even aided by numerous bored youths fleeing Islamophobia and a bleak life in Europe, possibly but not necessarily chasing 72 virgins in the afterlife.

No comments: